Samgurali vs Dila Gori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
10º
5º
68
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DTB
0 - 1
SAM
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
GAG
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SIO
1 - 4
SAM
33%
23%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SAM
5 - 2
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 2
SAM
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
GAG
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 1
GOR
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
KOL
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
DBA
0 - 2
GOR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
GOR
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |