Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
10º
7º
38
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 73 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 69 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 57 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 51 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 42 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 40 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 30 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 58.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
KOL
2 - 1
SAM
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
7 - 0
TEL
62%
22%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
DBA
2 - 0
SAM
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 1
GOR
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FTK
1 - 1
SAM
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
DTB
1 - 1
DBA
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
DTB
2 - 1
GOR
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FTK
2 - 0
DTB
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
DTB
1 - 2
SAB
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GAG
0 - 4
DTB
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |