Samegrelo vs Mertskhali II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
KOL
1 - 1
SAM
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 0
TOR
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +5 |
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
LAZ
4 - 1
SAM
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
KOL
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 4
SAP
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mertskhali II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 3
RAC
8%
15%
78%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
MER
0 - 2
KOL
9%
16%
76%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
SAP
3 - 1
MER
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
SHU
6 - 1
MER
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
MER
0 - 2
MAR
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | -1 |