Samaritaine vs Case-Pilote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samaritaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NSD
5 - 0
SAM
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 1
USM
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 0
GOL
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AIG
1 - 4
SAM
46%
23%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
CLU
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
GOO
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
EMU
1 - 2
CAS
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CLU
0 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
GOL
52%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |