Sámano vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CUL
2 - 2
SAM
38%
26%
37%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 2
NAV
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 4
RIN
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
SAM
41%
24%
34%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
RIN
8 - 1
RIB
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SMA
2 - 7
RIN
16%
23%
61%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 4
RIN
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
RIN
0 - 0
SOL
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CDV
1 - 1
RIN
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |