Sámano vs Rinconeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
GAM
24%
22%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAM
58%
22%
21%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
CUL
37%
26%
37%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rinconeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
RIN
1 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 2
RIN
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
RIN
0 - 3
SMA
34%
26%
40%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 1
RIN
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
RIN
1 - 2
REV
40%
25%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |