Samambaia vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samambaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAM
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
43%
23%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
PAR
21%
20%
60%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 1
SAM
66%
18%
15%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
CAP
45%
23%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
DOM
10%
17%
74%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 1
CEI
26%
23%
51%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DOM
1 - 0
BRA
20%
21%
59%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 2
DOM
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |