Salisbury City vs Weston-super-Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 3
FAR
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
WEL
4 - 3
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
3 - 1
ARL
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 2
DAR
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
SUT
5 - 0
SAL
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Weston-super-Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WES
4 - 2
MAI
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
WES
2 - 1
STA
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
DAR
1 - 1
WES
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DOV
1 - 0
WES
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
WOK
4 - 1
WES
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |