Salgueiro vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
56.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
YPI
4 - 1
SAL
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEN
62%
20%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
NAU
0 - 1
GRE
45%
25%
29%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
POR
0 - 2
NAU
52%
24%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAN
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |