Salernitana vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
REG
1 - 1
SAL
34%
30%
36%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
SAL
1 - 0
REG
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
ANC
0 - 1
SAL
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
FIA
1 - 2
SAL
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
SAL
0 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
ASL
2 - 0
VNZ
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
CES
1 - 2
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
ASL
2 - 1
PRG
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
PES
2 - 1
ASL
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
ASL
2 - 0
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |