Salernitana vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1995 |
UDI
1 - 1
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
SAL
4 - 1
VER
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
COM
1 - 4
SAL
37%
30%
33%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
SAL
0 - 0
VNZ
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
PAL
0 - 0
SAL
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1995 |
ASL
2 - 2
FIA
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
VNZ
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
ATL
1 - 0
ASL
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
ASL
3 - 0
PAL
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
CHI
4 - 1
ASL
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |