St Geneviève vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
23.3%
69.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
23.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
30.1%
0-2
18.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.2%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
STG
0 - 0
MET
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BRC
3 - 1
STG
69%
20%
12%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
STG
2 - 3
VES
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
AUX
4 - 0
STG
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
STG
3 - 1
NOI
48%
28%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LIL
3 - 1
LHA
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
NIC
0 - 1
LIL
42%
29%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 1
TFC
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
LIL
1 - 1
LOR
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 2
LIL
61%
22%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |