St Geneviève vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
REI
2 - 0
STG
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
STG
0 - 2
LIL
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
STG
1 - 0
FLE
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 2
STG
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SML
0 - 0
STG
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 2
SCH
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SPI
2 - 2
ARR
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
ARR
2 - 1
LIL
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ARR
0 - 6
LUS
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
ARR
2 - 2
REI
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |