Saint-Priest vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Priest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 2
LIM
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 2
SAI
24%
24%
52%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAI
4 - 1
ROM
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 0
CDE
83%
11%
6%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FEU
3 - 5
SAI
21%
24%
56%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 1
BAS
27%
27%
46%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
GIR
3 - 1
VAL
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 1
PFC
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
AMI
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |