Saint-Nazaire AF vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
13º
12º
40
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Nazaire AF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SNA
2 - 0
ACG
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LPS
5 - 0
SNA
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NIO
5 - 2
SNA
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SNA
0 - 0
ASC
54%
22%
25%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LSD
1 - 1
SNA
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SPG
2 - 0
LPS
38%
24%
39%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 0
CHA
71%
17%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 0
USS
28%
22%
51%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
LAV
0 - 0
SPG
55%
21%
25%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 3
SAB
44%
22%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |