Saint Louis vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10%
84.7%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.7%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
4%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5.5%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
8%
0-6
2.9%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
4.1%
0-7
1.3%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.5%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
LOU
1 - 2
PHU
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
LOU
2 - 0
TOR
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
MIC
1 - 2
LOU
76%
15%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
TAM
1 - 1
LOU
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
WIC
3 - 4
LOU
15%
21%
65%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CFS
2 - 0
AFC
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
ORL
0 - 0
CFS
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
CFS
2 - 1
DAL
35%
26%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
DCU
0 - 1
CFS
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
CFS
3 - 0
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |