Saint-Étienne vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1968 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASS
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1968 |
ASS
3 - 0
LIL
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1968 |
MET
1 - 1
ASS
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1968 |
SOC
0 - 4
ASS
36%
27%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1968 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1968 |
STR
2 - 0
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1968 |
MAR
0 - 0
STR
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1968 |
STR
0 - 2
SED
39%
25%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1968 |
FCR
3 - 2
STR
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |