Saint-Étienne vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
ASS
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 0
ASS
39%
29%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
DNI
1 - 0
ASS
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAS
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
MPL
0 - 2
ASS
37%
29%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
REI
3 - 2
ETG
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 3
LYO
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 2
ETG
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 0
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ETG
1 - 0
NIC
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |