Saint-Étienne vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 2
ASS
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 2
PSG
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
REN
2 - 2
ASS
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ASS
4 - 0
NIC
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 2
LIL
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ETG
2 - 2
REI
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LIL
1 - 2
ETG
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ETG
5 - 1
SOC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
ETG
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ETG
3 - 1
LHA
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |