S. Christophe vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S. Christophe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
SCH
22%
22%
56%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 1
BV5
32%
24%
43%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PRO
3 - 2
SCH
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 5
ASS
32%
25%
42%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
USA
1 - 1
SCH
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
SAV
36%
27%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
USA
0 - 1
FCC
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 1
FCC
28%
24%
47%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |