Saint-Apollinaire vs Selongey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
78.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Apollinaire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BFC
2 - 1
APO
90%
8%
3%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
APO
1 - 0
SVU
30%
22%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CSL
4 - 0
APO
93%
6%
2%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
APO
0 - 3
AUX
5%
11%
84%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Selongey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SEL
2 - 4
DIJ
27%
26%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BRC
3 - 2
SEL
58%
21%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
SEL
1 - 3
PON
21%
25%
54%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SOC
2 - 0
SEL
55%
22%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FCG
6 - 3
SEL
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |