Saint Andrews vs Marsaskala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
3º
2º
13
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Andrews
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FUN
2 - 0
SAI
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SAI
1 - 3
LIJ
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
SAI
0 - 0
SWI
35%
26%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
QRE
0 - 2
SAI
38%
24%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 1
ATT
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
QRE
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
ATT
2 - 2
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
MQA
56%
23%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |