Challenge Cup Malta Last 16

Saint Andrews vs Marsa FC analysis

Saint Andrews Marsa FC
49 ELO 61
-6.2% Tilt -5.6%
4842º General ELO ranking 2877º
33º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
16.1%
Saint Andrews
19.6%
Draw
64.2%
Marsa FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
Saint Andrews
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.2%
Win probability
Marsa FC
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Saint Andrews
-10%
-26%
Marsa FC

ELO progression

Saint Andrews
Marsa FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saint Andrews
Saint Andrews
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2025
SAI
Saint Andrews
1 - 0
Senglea Athletic
SEN
40%
25%
36%
49 50 1 0
16 Feb. 2025
FUN
Fgura United FC
0 - 1
Saint Andrews
SAI
66%
20%
13%
48 58 10 +1
08 Feb. 2025
SAI
Saint Andrews
3 - 4
Swieqi United
SWI
20%
25%
56%
48 61 13 0
01 Feb. 2025
SAI
Saint Andrews
1 - 3
Pieta Hotspurs
PIE
23%
25%
52%
48 57 9 0
26 Jan. 2025
MAR
Marsa FC
0 - 0
Saint Andrews
SAI
75%
16%
9%
48 63 15 0

Matches

Marsa FC
Marsa FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2025
MAR
Marsa FC
2 - 3
Swieqi United
SWI
47%
25%
27%
62 61 1 0
15 Feb. 2025
MGA
Mgarr United FC
1 - 1
Marsa FC
MAR
39%
25%
36%
62 60 2 0
09 Feb. 2025
MAR
Marsa FC
0 - 1
Valletta FC
VAL
25%
26%
48%
62 74 12 0
05 Feb. 2025
MAR
Marsa FC
0 - 4
Sliema Wanderers
SLI
36%
25%
39%
63 70 7 -1
01 Feb. 2025
GUD
Gudja United
1 - 2
Marsa FC
MAR
23%
24%
54%
63 52 11 0