Sagreño vs Tortola CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAG
2 - 1
YUN
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SIG
1 - 0
SAG
59%
20%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SAG
1 - 1
GPR
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
6 - 1
SAG
27%
24%
49%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAG
0 - 1
AZU
29%
25%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tortola CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ESQ
4 - 1
TOR
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 2
CON
37%
24%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 2
TOR
36%
23%
41%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 2
ATA
14%
19%
68%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
YEP
4 - 1
TOR
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |