Saedding / Guldager vs Marstal/Rise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
72.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saedding / Guldager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
SGI
1 - 4
ACH
4%
9%
87%
|
8 | 62 | 54 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
SGI
0 - 1
ESB
3%
9%
88%
|
8 | 61 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
SGI
0 - 1
KOL
12%
15%
73%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
SGI
1 - 6
TAR
7%
12%
81%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
HAF
2 - 1
SGI
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Marstal/Rise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 6
AGF
3%
9%
88%
|
19 | 77 | 58 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
5 - 3
KOL
13%
18%
70%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +3 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
SYD
8%
16%
76%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAR
71%
17%
13%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
GRE
6%
13%
81%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | -1 |