Sablé vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
14º
14º
30
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ESO
1 - 1
SAB
53%
21%
27%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SAB
0 - 1
LAT
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
ANG
0 - 1
SAB
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SAB
1 - 3
USS
41%
24%
35%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAB
2 - 2
LAV
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 1
LAV
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPG
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 1
CHA
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 2
SPG
40%
23%
38%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 3
CHA
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |