Sablé vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
4º
28
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ESO
3 - 2
SAB
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAB
3 - 1
CHA
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 4
SAB
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SAB
3 - 1
LPS
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ACP
0 - 3
SAB
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SPG
3 - 2
LRO
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SCB
0 - 1
SPG
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 1
CHA
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
USS
4 - 1
SPG
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 2
FON
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |