Sablé vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sablé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SAB
4 - 1
POI
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SAB
1 - 3
CHO
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
THO
1 - 1
SAB
46%
27%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 1
AVO
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAB
3 - 1
LIM
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SAI
2 - 0
PLA
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 0
CAE
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 0
PLA
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 1
FON
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
PLA
0 - 2
TRE
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |