1. FC Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
KSC
3 - 0
SAA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
SAA
2 - 2
OFC
53%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAA
3 - 0
WAC
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SAA
0 - 5
S04
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 2
SAA
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ERF
5 - 0
BOR
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 1
ERF
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ERF
0 - 2
ARB
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
OSN
1 - 0
ERF
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ERF
1 - 1
STU
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |