Bundesliga U19 South/South West Round 26

Saarbrücken U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis

Saarbrücken U19 Mainz 05 U19
17 ELO 35
4.5% Tilt 12.2%
16099º General ELO ranking 8590º
652º Country ELO ranking 420º
ELO win probability
15.8%
Saarbrücken U19
20.3%
Draw
63.9%
Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
Saarbrücken U19
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
63.9%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Saarbrücken U19
-60%
+5%
Mainz 05 U19

ELO progression

Saarbrücken U19
Mainz 05 U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saarbrücken U19
Saarbrücken U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2012
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
6 - 2
Saarbrücken U19
SAA
83%
11%
6%
18 33 15 0
06 May. 2012
SAA
Saarbrücken U19
0 - 5
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
FRA
21%
21%
59%
19 29 10 -1
01 May. 2012
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
7 - 1
Saarbrücken U19
SAA
70%
17%
13%
20 28 8 -1
22 Apr. 2012
SAA
Saarbrücken U19
1 - 3
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
18%
21%
62%
21 36 15 -1
14 Apr. 2012
SAA
Saarbrücken U19
1 - 4
Bayern München U19
BYM
18%
21%
61%
22 39 17 -1

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2012
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 3
Bayern München U19
BYM
44%
24%
33%
36 40 4 0
05 May. 2012
HOF
Hoffenheim U19
0 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
38%
24%
38%
35 29 6 +1
29 Apr. 2012
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 4
Freiburg U19
FRE
37%
24%
40%
36 42 6 -1
22 Apr. 2012
NUR
Nürnberg U19
3 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
31%
24%
45%
38 31 7 -2
14 Apr. 2012
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 0
Kaiserslautern U19
KAI
73%
16%
11%
38 29 9 0