Saar Saarbrücken vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saar Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
SAA
1 - 7
ELV
12%
21%
68%
|
22 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SPI
3 - 0
SAA
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SAA
0 - 7
PIR
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
WWO
5 - 0
SAA
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAA
0 - 4
STE
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2016 |
SAA
2 - 3
HOM
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HOM
2 - 4
ELV
31%
29%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 3
HOM
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
HOM
4 - 1
SPI
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
KAI
0 - 1
HOM
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |