SA Mérignac U19 vs Concarneau U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
10º
23
8º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 4
LAV
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VER
0 - 1
SAM
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 2
AVR
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 3
SAM
46%
22%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 2
BOR
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Concarneau U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ANG
5 - 3
CON
79%
13%
7%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CON
0 - 1
LAV
19%
19%
62%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CON
4 - 0
VER
51%
20%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
STA
2 - 0
CON
81%
13%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 2
CON
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |