Rutsiro vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
15º
15º
32
5º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rutsiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
GFC
39%
24%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 2
APR
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 2
POL
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ETI
0 - 0
RFC
46%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 1
MUS
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MUS
0 - 0
BUG
47%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MUK
0 - 1
BUG
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 0
BUG
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 0
BUG
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
GFC
2 - 0
BUG
52%
21%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |