Cymru Alliance Round 30

Ruthin Town vs Caersws analysis

Ruthin Town Caersws
27 ELO 36
1.5% Tilt 3.1%
6226º General ELO ranking 6538º
46º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
25.8%
Ruthin Town
24%
Draw
50.3%
Caersws

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
Ruthin Town
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.3%
Win probability
Caersws
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ruthin Town
-59%
-67%
Caersws

ELO progression

Ruthin Town
Caersws
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ruthin Town
Ruthin Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
FLI
Flint Town United
0 - 2
Ruthin Town
RTW
78%
15%
8%
25 39 14 0
10 Mar. 2012
RTW
Ruthin Town
1 - 3
Rhyl FC
RHY
11%
17%
72%
26 49 23 -1
03 Mar. 2012
BUC
Buckley Town
1 - 0
Ruthin Town
RTW
77%
14%
9%
26 38 12 0
25 Feb. 2012
RTW
Ruthin Town
0 - 3
Connah's Quay
CON
16%
22%
62%
28 45 17 -2
28 Jan. 2012
RTW
Ruthin Town
0 - 0
Rhos Aelwyd
AEL
70%
17%
13%
28 21 7 0

Matches

Caersws
Caersws
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Mar. 2012
CAE
Caersws
2 - 3
Porthmadog
POR
47%
23%
31%
37 41 4 0
10 Mar. 2012
CON
Conwy Borough FC
1 - 3
Caersws
CAE
58%
21%
21%
36 39 3 +1
03 Mar. 2012
CAE
Caersws
2 - 1
Cefn Druids AFC
CEF
34%
25%
41%
34 46 12 +2
25 Feb. 2012
LLA
Llanrhaeadr FC
0 - 4
Caersws
CAE
31%
24%
45%
33 25 8 +1
11 Feb. 2012
LLA
Llangefni Town FC
0 - 2
Caersws
CAE
19%
22%
59%
32 19 13 +1