Rute Calidad vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rute Calidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
RUT
2 - 2
CCF
59%
23%
18%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
RIO
1 - 0
RUT
55%
24%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
RUT
0 - 1
BRE
42%
27%
31%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
ILI
4 - 2
RUT
62%
22%
15%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
RUT
2 - 1
BET
37%
29%
34%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
IMP
3 - 1
LUC
48%
26%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
LUC
2 - 1
JER
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
POZ
6 - 1
LUC
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
LUC
1 - 1
REC
54%
24%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
AYA
2 - 2
LUC
53%
24%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |