Rustad vs Sparta Sarpsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rustad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
KRA
8 - 0
RID
82%
11%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
RID
3 - 1
OST
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
KIL
1 - 1
RID
8%
15%
77%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
RID
3 - 4
FFK
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
GRO
6 - 1
RID
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SPA
4 - 2
TIF
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SJE
3 - 1
SPA
44%
24%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 2
OPP
67%
18%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 0
FFK
71%
17%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
KRA
2 - 0
SPA
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -2 |