Rud La Carlota vs Estrella San Agustín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rud La Carlota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ANT
1 - 1
RUD
65%
21%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RUD
0 - 0
LAV
50%
25%
26%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
RUD
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
RUD
0 - 1
ROC
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RUD
1 - 2
PEN
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LAV
3 - 2
EST
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
ROC
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
OSU
2 - 2
EST
33%
24%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
ESP
55%
22%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |