Charleroi II vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
11º
5º
6
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 47 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 46 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 35 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 34 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
6 | 32 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 32 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 30 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 29 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 25 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 23 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 20 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 16 |
12º
|
55% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
56.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
43.5% | 24% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charleroi II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2025 |
RCS
4 - 1
NAM
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
MEU
1 - 3
RCS
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
RCS
1 - 2
GEN
21%
28%
51%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
KAA
2 - 1
RCS
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SGI
1 - 3
RCS
45%
25%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2025 |
EXC
5 - 2
SCH
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
EXC
0 - 1
BEE
17%
20%
62%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2025 |
HBN
6 - 2
EXC
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
EXC
3 - 2
NAM
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
EXC
3 - 3
SPO
33%
24%
43%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |