Rothes vs Strathspey Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.1%
3.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
16º
10º
10
16º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 1
FOR
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 2
WIC
82%
12%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 0
ROT
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ROT
3 - 2
CLA
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 1
BRE
16%
20%
64%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Strathspey Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
INV
4 - 0
STR
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
NAI
7%
13%
81%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BRE
6 - 0
STR
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 52 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
STR
1 - 3
LOS
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
8 - 1
STR
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |