Rothes vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
16º
10º
27
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 4
BUC
11%
16%
74%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 1
ROT
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 2
FOR
27%
24%
50%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 3
ROT
26%
22%
53%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIC
1 - 1
ROT
21%
21%
58%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
5 - 0
KEI
89%
9%
2%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KEI
6 - 1
STR
78%
13%
9%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
LOS
2 - 0
KEI
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DEV
4 - 3
KEI
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 2
CUM
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | -1 |