Highland Football League Scotland Round 24

Rothes vs Keith analysis

Rothes Keith
40 ELO 25
10.7% Tilt 8.9%
12639º General ELO ranking 9621º
93º Country ELO ranking 88º
ELO win probability
78.3%
Rothes
13.1%
Draw
8.6%
Keith

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
Rothes
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
Keith
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rothes
-34%
-15%
Keith

Points and table prediction

Rothes
Their league position
Keith
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
16º
10º
27
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buckie Thistle
87
90
78.5%
Brechin City
86
86
78.5%
Brora Rangers
77
80
100%
Formartine United
71
74
94.5%
Fraserburgh
68
71
94.5%
Banks O' Dee
10º
36
63
100%
Inverurie Loco Works
50
50
100%
Nairn County
43
46
54.5%
Huntly
45
45
59.5%
Rothes
44
44
10º
67.5%
Forres Mechanics
11º
36
36
11º
48.5%
Clachnacuddin
12º
34
35
12º
18.5%
Turriff United
13º
33
34
13º
67.5%
Lossiemouth
15º
26
27
14º
25%
Keith
14º
27
27
15º
58.5%
Wick Academy
16º
25
26
16º
42%
Deveronvale
17º
24
24
17º
80.5%
Strathspey Thistle
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rothes
Keith
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rothes
Keith
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rothes
Rothes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
ROT
Rothes
2 - 4
Buckie Thistle
BUC
11%
16%
74%
40 54 14 0
08 Oct. 2022
DEV
Deveronvale
0 - 1
Rothes
ROT
13%
17%
70%
39 22 17 +1
05 Oct. 2022
ROT
Rothes
2 - 2
Formartine United
FOR
27%
24%
50%
39 47 8 0
01 Oct. 2022
FOR
Forres Mechanics
4 - 3
Rothes
ROT
26%
22%
53%
40 32 8 -1
24 Sep. 2022
WIC
Wick Academy
1 - 1
Rothes
ROT
21%
21%
58%
40 29 11 0

Matches

Keith
Keith
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
BRE
Brechin City
5 - 0
Keith
KEI
89%
9%
2%
25 55 30 0
08 Oct. 2022
KEI
Keith
6 - 1
Strathspey Thistle
STR
78%
13%
9%
25 17 8 0
05 Oct. 2022
LOS
Lossiemouth
2 - 0
Keith
KEI
37%
22%
41%
26 23 3 -1
01 Oct. 2022
DEV
Deveronvale
4 - 3
Keith
KEI
28%
22%
50%
27 21 6 -1
17 Sep. 2022
KEI
Keith
1 - 2
Cumnock Juniors FC
CUM
80%
13%
8%
28 13 15 -1