Highland Football League Scotland Round 11

Rothes vs Keith analysis

Rothes Keith
48 ELO 29
24.2% Tilt 14.7%
11870º General ELO ranking 9188º
84º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
87%
Rothes
9%
Draw
3.9%
Keith

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
Rothes
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.9%
Win probability
Keith
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rothes
-52%
-35%
Keith

ELO progression

Rothes
Keith
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rothes
Rothes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2019
STR
Strathspey Thistle
1 - 2
Rothes
ROT
9%
14%
77%
47 23 24 0
21 Sep. 2019
EDA
Edusport Academy
3 - 4
Rothes
ROT
20%
19%
61%
47 37 10 0
14 Sep. 2019
ROT
Rothes
2 - 0
Inverurie Loco Works
INV
33%
23%
45%
45 50 5 +2
11 Sep. 2019
BRO
Brora Rangers
2 - 1
Rothes
ROT
73%
16%
12%
45 53 8 0
07 Sep. 2019
ROT
Rothes
4 - 0
Deveronvale
DEV
80%
13%
7%
45 34 11 0

Matches

Keith
Keith
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2019
KEI
Keith
2 - 3
Stirling University
STI
35%
23%
42%
29 37 8 0
14 Sep. 2019
HUN
Huntly
2 - 2
Keith
KEI
51%
20%
29%
29 30 1 0
11 Sep. 2019
KEI
Keith
1 - 1
Nairn County
NAI
17%
19%
64%
28 44 16 +1
07 Sep. 2019
LOS
Lossiemouth
2 - 3
Keith
KEI
7%
13%
81%
28 11 17 0
31 Aug. 2019
FOR
Forres Mechanics
4 - 0
Keith
KEI
72%
16%
12%
29 40 11 -1