Rothes vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
72.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ROT
0 - 4
BRO
12%
19%
69%
|
9 | 52 | 43 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
4 - 1
ROT
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ROT
1 - 4
BUC
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NAI
5 - 1
ROT
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ROT
2 - 4
CLA
16%
19%
65%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
FRA
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
5 - 1
COV
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
5 - 2
BUC
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
4 - 1
ROT
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
INV
2 - 1
FRA
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |