Rothes vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LOS
3 - 1
ROT
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 9
COV
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BRO
6 - 0
ROT
82%
13%
6%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BUC
2 - 2
ROT
77%
15%
7%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 0
STR
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
TUR
46%
23%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEV
0 - 4
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
STR
84%
11%
5%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
KEI
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
WIC
0 - 1
FOR
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +2 |