Rot-Weiss Essen vs STV Horst Emscher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
MON
1 - 4
ROT
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
ROT
4 - 3
LEV
82%
10%
8%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1953 |
BOC
4 - 3
ROT
68%
18%
14%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
ROT
2 - 1
SWE
87%
8%
5%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1953 |
MSV
1 - 4
ROT
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
STV Horst Emscher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
SHE
2 - 3
S04
51%
22%
28%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
SVS
0 - 0
SHE
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1953 |
SHE
4 - 1
F95
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
PRE
3 - 0
SHE
81%
11%
7%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1953 |
SHE
2 - 3
RHE
77%
13%
10%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |