Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1980 |
WAT
1 - 1
ROT
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1980 |
ROT
2 - 2
ARB
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1980 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ROT
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
DSC
3 - 6
ROT
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1979 |
ROT
0 - 0
VIK
82%
12%
6%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1980 |
AAA
2 - 3
ARB
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1980 |
DSC
2 - 1
AAA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1980 |
AAA
4 - 1
USO
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
AAA
3 - 0
AHA
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1979 |
HOL
0 - 0
AAA
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |