Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
M05
1 - 0
RWA
55%
23%
23%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
RWA
1 - 1
FCU
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
EBT
1 - 0
RWA
30%
23%
47%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
RWA
1 - 0
LUB
49%
23%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
RWA
3 - 1
REU
40%
24%
36%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 1
STU
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
HER
0 - 1
BRE
53%
24%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
BRE
5 - 3
KAI
57%
21%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2002 |
BRE
3 - 3
VIT
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
WOL
3 - 1
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |