Regionalliga West Round 3

Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis

Rot Weiss Ahlen Wattenscheid 09
42 ELO 35
7% Tilt 7.8%
5678º General ELO ranking 5705º
282º Country ELO ranking 285º
ELO win probability
58.5%
Rot Weiss Ahlen
20.2%
Draw
21.3%
Wattenscheid 09

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
Rot Weiss Ahlen
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.3%
Win probability
Wattenscheid 09
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rot Weiss Ahlen
-36%
+45%
Wattenscheid 09

Points and table prediction

Rot Weiss Ahlen
Their league position
Wattenscheid 09
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
16º
16º
22
15º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Preußen Münster
76
79
100%
B. Mönchengladbach II
65
66
74.5%
Wuppertaler SV
63
64
74.5%
Rödinghausen
58
58
100%
Fortuna Köln
54
55
60.5%
Alemannia Aachen
53
54
37%
Kaan-Marienborn
52
53
28%
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
50
51
42%
Schalke 04 II
48
49
90%
Düren
11º
45
48
10º
72.5%
Lippstadt 08
10º
46
46
11º
72.5%
Wiedenbrück
12º
41
41
12º
100%
Köln II
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
14º
40
40
14º
100%
FC Bocholt
15º
36
37
15º
100%
Rot Weiss Ahlen
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Wattenscheid 09
17º
22
22
17º
100%
SV Straelen
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rot Weiss Ahlen
Wattenscheid 09
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Rot Weiss Ahlen
Wattenscheid 09
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rot Weiss Ahlen
Rot Weiss Ahlen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2022
RWA
Rot Weiss Ahlen
1 - 1
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
22%
24%
54%
41 52 11 0
23 Jul. 2022
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
1 - 2
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
74%
16%
9%
40 52 12 +1
16 Jul. 2022
RWA
Rot Weiss Ahlen
3 - 4
BW Lohne
BWL
39%
25%
37%
40 42 2 0
13 Jul. 2022
MEP
SV Meppen
2 - 1
Rot Weiss Ahlen
RWA
78%
15%
8%
40 57 17 0
10 Jul. 2022
RWA
Rot Weiss Ahlen
1 - 3
Hiltrup
TUS
80%
13%
7%
41 11 30 -1

Matches

Wattenscheid 09
Wattenscheid 09
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Jul. 2022
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
1 - 4
Wuppertaler SV
WUP
13%
20%
67%
38 52 14 0
23 Jul. 2022
PRE
Preußen Münster
4 - 1
Wattenscheid 09
WAT
74%
17%
9%
38 60 22 0
17 Jul. 2022
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
2 - 3
Velbert
VEL
40%
25%
36%
39 38 1 -1
13 Jul. 2022
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
3 - 1
Homberg
VFB
53%
24%
23%
38 33 5 +1
06 Jul. 2022
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
0 - 1
TuS Bovinghausen
TUS
56%
21%
23%
39 28 11 -1