Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Rot-Weiß Oberhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
14º
18º
18º
50
3º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
LIP
3 - 0
RWA
58%
19%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RWA
3 - 2
VEL
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
WIE
1 - 1
RWA
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RWA
1 - 1
PAD
31%
23%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WEG
2 - 1
RWA
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 0
KÖL
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 2
ROT
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROT
2 - 0
GUT
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ROT
4 - 1
AAA
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LIP
1 - 4
ROT
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +2 |