Rot Weiss Ahlen vs Paderborn 07 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
51.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
14º
18º
18º
38
3º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WEG
2 - 1
RWA
61%
19%
19%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
RWA
0 - 5
DIE
22%
20%
59%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 0
RWA
78%
14%
7%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
RWA
2 - 1
SVE
16%
20%
64%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RWA
3 - 5
SPO
39%
23%
39%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
KÖL
24%
25%
50%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 2
PAD
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 2
GUT
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DRO
0 - 2
PAD
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 4
WUP
9%
16%
75%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |