Rot Weiss Ahlen vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2004 |
ERF
1 - 1
RWA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
FCN
2 - 3
RWA
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
RWA
2 - 2
EIN
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ERZ
0 - 0
RWA
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 2
UNT
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 0
SGF
38%
26%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
PAD
2 - 1
MSV
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
MUN
1 - 0
MSV
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 0
ROT
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 2
MSV
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |